Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Coromandel Wave

Great flight last Saturday ... wave to Port Jackson (ie. top of the Coromandel Peninsula) and return and a bit South of Tauranga.  360km .
Wave was strong and clear - wished I had been a little more organised as would have been a 750km day!
wind 50kts from222deg.  at 10'000. 
Spectacular veiws all the way and was very straightforward.  10,000'-11,000' all the way with very cooperative and interested ATC staff.  A very pleasant day out .  Unfortunately no camera and the track is still in the GPS.
What happened to La Nina forecastes?

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Storm Front



Recall years ago diving into such a cell in a Competition in the ASW15- through various zones of rapid sink, lift and turbulance - Got the turn point and progressed to land out near ridge finishing 1st of the day.

Friday, October 28, 2011

Niwa Seasonal Forecaste - LA NINA

good name for it I think "anticyclonic gloom"

 

Background

Following the La Niña event over July 2010 to April 2011, the tropical Pacific returned to neutral conditions. However, over the past 4-6 weeks there is mounting evidence of a transition back to La Niña conditions. The Southern Oscillation Index has become more positive, sea surface temperature anomalies have become increasingly negative in the east-central equatorial Pacific, and the easterly trade winds have intensified near the Date Line. There has been a major shift in the consensus from global climate models which predict El Niño-Southern Oscillation conditions. The majority of these models are now forecasting further development of La Niña patterns over spring and a continuation through the summer of 2011/12. At this early stage, we cannot be confident about the intensity of the event.

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Another La Nina - Oh Great!

Well doesnt look good - just read Niwa's forecasting another La Nina for the summer.  Might take up fishing .

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10755932
also;-

http://www.sunlive.co.nz/news/16954-another-la-nina-summer-likely.html


"A warmer and drier end of spring and start of summer was expected for most of the country due to the La Nina weather system, according to Niwa's seasonal climate outlook."